Buccaneers vs. Dolphins odds, picks, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals 2021 Week 5 NFL predictions

by 24USATVOct. 10, 2021, 7 p.m. 16
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Known colloquially as the Sunshine Series, Florida's two oldest NFL teams will meet in Week 5. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Miami Dolphins have met 32 times in the preseason but just 11 times in the regular season. Tampa Bay holds a 6-5 series edge and won the last meeting in 2017. Buccaneers QB Tom Brady has played Miami 35 times before (23-12 record) and Sunday's matchup will be his first non-divisional game vs. the Dolphins.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. Caesars Sportsbook lists Tampa Bay as an 11-point favorite in the latest Buccaneers vs. Dolphins odds. The over-under for total points opened at 49.5, but has since dropped to 48. In select markets, Sunday's matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Dolphins vs. Buccaneers

Before you tune in to Sunday's Dolphins vs. Buccaneers game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine's advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an incredible 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Buccaneers vs. Dolphins, the model is backing the over (48) to hit in more than 50 percent of simulations. The over-under opened at 49.5 and dropped as low as 47.5 before settling on its current number.

Both defenses are reeling and rank among the bottom 10 in points allowed. Miami is especially susceptible against the pass as it has allowed a league-high 20 completions of at least 20 yards. So, the last quarterback Miami wants to see is Brady as his 23 completions of at least 20 yards leads the league.

Tampa isn't any better at defending the pass thanks to the assortment of defensive back injuries that have plagued the team. The Buccaneers rank 32nd in both passing yards allowed and passing TDs allowed, while ranking 31st in completion percentage given up. That should allow Jacoby Brissett to continue the success he showed last week when he threw two touchdowns, his first TD passes since Week 14 of 2019.

The model has also taken into account that the total has gone over in six of the last seven meetings between the Dolphins and Buccaneers. SportsLine's model is projecting 50 total points to be scored, which results in the over (48) hitting in more than 50 percent of simulations.

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more.

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