Dolphins vs. Patriots prediction, odds, spread, line: Sunday Night Football picks by model on 163-114 roll

The Miami Dolphins will try to start the season 2-0 for the second year in a row when they face the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football at Gillette Stadium. The Dolphins (1-0) are coming off a thrilling 36-34 victory over the Chargers in Week 1. Miami has not started back-to-back seasons 2-0 since 2001-02. Meanwhile, the Patriots (0-1) dropped their season opener to the reigning NFC champion Eagles, 25-20. With the defeat, New England has lost three straight season openers for the first time since 1992-94.

Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET. Miami is a 2-point favorite in the latest Dolphins vs. Patriots odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before making any Patriots vs. Dolphins picks or NFL predictions, you need to see the NFL betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 2 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-114 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-7 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has zeroed in on Dolphins vs. Patriots and locked in another confident against-the-spread pick. You can see the model's pick only at SportsLine. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Patriots vs. Dolphins:
• NE: QB Mac Jones ranks fourth in the league in passing yards (316)
• Dolphins vs. Patriots picks: See picks here
• Dolphins vs. Patriots live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Dolphins can cover

Miami has arguably the league's most dangerous playmaker in Tyreek Hill. In last week's season opener against the Chargers, Hill had 11 receptions for 215 yards and two touchdowns. He had four catches of at least 20 yards in that game, which was more than any other team in the league in Week 1.

In addition, the Dolphins did an excellent job of protecting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa last week. Tagovailoa was not sacked despite making 45 passing attempts. The pass protection allowed Tagovailoa to pass for 466 yards, the second-best total of his career, and three touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

Why the Patriots can cover

New England's defense did an excellent job of limiting the Eagles and quarterback Jalen Hurts last week. In that game, the Patriots held Hurts to just 170 passing yards on 22-of-33 passing. The 5.2 yards per attempt was the fourth-lowest average for Hurts in 36 career games as a starter for Philadelphia.

In addition, New England faces a Miami defense that was gashed by the run last week. In the Dolphins' win over the Chargers, Los Angeles ran for 233 yards and three touchdowns on 40 attempts, averaging a robust 5.8 yards per carry. The 233 rushing yards are the most given up by any NFL defense this season. See which team to pick here.

How to make Dolphins vs. Patriots picks

Now, the model has broken down Patriots vs. Dolphins from every angle. The model is leaning Under the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 43 points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine.



So who wins Patriots vs. Dolphins on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Dolphins spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.