Spurs vs. Thunder prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2023 NBA picks, November 14 best bets from top model

by 24USATVNov. 15, 2023, 7:01 a.m. 25

The Oklahoma City Thunder will look to continue their recent success over the San Antonio Spurs when they meet in an NBA In-Season Tournament Group C matchup on Tuesday. The Thunder (0-2, 6-4 overall), who have won the past three meetings with San Antonio, are 3-3 on their home floor in 2023-24. The Spurs (0-1, 3-7 overall), who lead the overall series 100-84, are 2-3 on the road this season. San Antonio is 3-3 in conference play, while Oklahoma City is 1-4. Keldon Johnson (knee) and Tre Jones (hamstring) are out for the Spurs, while Jeremy Sochan (adductor) is questionable.

The game will tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla. The Spurs are averaging 113.0 points per game, while the Thunder average 115.9. Oklahoma City is a 10.5-point favorite in the latest Spurs vs. Thunder odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 238.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Spurs picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023-24 NBA season on an 80-43 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Spurs vs. Thunder and just locked in its picks and NBA In-Season Tournament predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NBA odds and betting lines for Thunder vs. Spurs:
• SAS: Has hit the game total over in 47 of its last 67 games (+26.10 units)
• OKC: Has hit the team total over in 30 of its last 40 games at home (+18.40)
• Spurs vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Thunder can cover

Center Chet Holmgren is one of five Oklahoma City players averaging double-figure scoring. In 10 games, all starts, Holmgren is averaging 16.4 points, 7.6 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 2.3 blocks per game. He is connecting on 54.9% of his field goals, including a blistering 50% from 3-point range and 89.5% from the foul line. He has had three double-doubles on the season, including a 16-point and 12-rebound effort in a 126-117 win over Atlanta on Nov. 6.

Another weapon on offense is guard Luguentz Dort. The fourth-year veteran is averaging 13.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, 1.4 steals, 1.3 assists and 1.1 blocks per game. He has reached double-figure scoring in five games, including a season-high 29 points in a 141-139 loss to Golden State on Nov. 3. He scored 25 points with six rebounds in a 108-105 win at Cleveland on Oct. 27. See which team to pick here.

Why the Spurs can cover

Center Victor Wembanyama, the top pick in the 2023 NBA Draft, is nearly averaging a double-double with 19.7 points and 8.8 rebounds. He is also dishing out 2.5 assists, blocking 2.4 shots and recording 1.1 steals per game. He has registered four double-doubles, including an 18-point and 11-rebound performance against Miami on Sunday. His best game so far was a 38-point and 10-rebound effort in a 132-121 win at Phoenix on Nov. 2.

Shooting guard Devin Vassell has also helped pick up the offense, and is averaging 18 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is connecting on 50.5% of his shots from the floor, including 42.9% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line. In Friday's 117-110 loss to Minnesota, he poured in 29 points, while dishing out four assists and grabbing three rebounds. Vassell had 14 points and seven rebounds in Sunday's loss to Miami. See which team to pick here.

How to make Spurs vs. Thunder picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total. In fact, it says San Antonio's Wembanyama will better his season average by nearly four points, while Oklahoma City's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will score three points more than his average. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 70% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Spurs vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread cashes in almost 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Spurs vs. Thunder spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $3,000 on its NBA picks dating back to last season, and find out.


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