Thunder vs. Mavericks odds, score prediction, time: 2024 NBA playoff picks, Game 1 best bets from proven model

by 24USATVMay 8, 2024, 5 a.m. 28
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The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder will host the 5-seed Dallas Mavericks for Game 1 of their 2024 NBA playoffs series on Tuesday. The Thunder won the regular-season series 3-1 over the Mavericks. Oklahoma City went 33-8 at home during the regular season, while Dallas went 25-16 on the road. Maxi Kleber (shoulder) is out for Dallas.

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla. The Thunder are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Mavericks vs. Thunder odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 218.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the conference semifinals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following the model has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Thunder vs. Mavs and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA betting lines and trends for Mavs vs. Thunder:
• OKC: The Thunder have won 34 of their last 39 games at home
• DAL: The Mavericks have hit the game total Under in 41 of their last 63 games
• Mavericks vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Thunder can cover

Forward Jalen Williams is a smooth athlete who thrives in transition and has the skills to create his own shot. His jumper allows him to space out the floor as he's averaging 21.3 points, 7.3 rebounds, and five assists in the 2024 NBA playoffs. He's scored 20-plus in three straight games, including on April 29 when Williams dropped 24 points with eight rebounds and four assists.

Guard Josh Giddey provides the Thunder with a pass-first playmaker who has a good basketball IQ with ball handles to break down defenses. In the first-round against New Orleans, he averaged 12.5 points, five rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game. On April 27, Giddey had 21 points, eight rebounds, and six assists. See which team to pick here.

Why the Mavericks can cover

Guard Luka Doncic is an all-around playmaker. Doncic has outstanding passing ability and gets into the lane with ease. He has a smooth jumper while breaking through defenders constantly. He leads the team in scoring (29.8), rebounds (8.8) and assists (9.5). In the Game 6 win over the Clippers, Doncic tallied 28 points, seven rebounds and 13 assists.

Guard Kyrie Irving continues to score at a high rate for the Mavs. The eight-time All-Star can take over any contest and owns a silky smooth jumper. He logs 26.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.7 assists per contest in the NBA playoffs 2024. In his last outing, Irving dropped 30 points, four assists and made five 3-pointers. See which team to pick here.

How to make Mavericks vs. Thunder picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 223 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 60% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Thunder vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread cashes in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Thunder spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $2,800 on its NBA picks this season, and find out.

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